Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.413298 0.486651 0.567367 0.662521 0.771359 0.891686 1.034498
2024-10-27 0.296052 0.391565 0.507340 0.656879 0.843656 1.067895 1.355981
2024-11-03 0.229712 0.335923 0.475717 0.670525 0.931866 1.266857 1.724611
2024-11-10 0.182699 0.292212 0.447188 0.677772 1.006378 1.451127 2.090292
2024-11-17 0.147887 0.256719 0.421146 0.680429 1.069925 1.622285 2.450754
2024-11-24 0.123743 0.231515 0.404266 0.691132 1.142438 1.808840 2.845560
2024-12-01 0.103420 0.207841 0.384848 0.693279 1.199551 1.975045 3.221772
2024-12-08 0.083038 0.179497 0.352483 0.668680 1.209767 2.068610 3.493626
2024-12-15 0.073703 0.169505 0.349660 0.692319 1.299090 2.290470 3.977829
2024-12-22 0.065028 0.158918 0.343793 0.709108 1.377352 2.499325 4.454965
2024-12-29 0.060632 0.156267 0.352256 0.752432 1.504960 2.797845 5.096855
2025-01-05 0.051773 0.141941 0.335431 0.745545 1.541223 2.943958 5.494443
2025-01-12 0.043819 0.128163 0.317993 0.736049 1.573242 3.087975 5.904073
2025-01-19 0.037315 0.116384 0.302883 0.729181 1.609320 3.241735 6.341416
2025-01-26 0.033246 0.109894 0.298440 0.743867 1.688474 3.478755 6.941028
2025-02-02 0.029306 0.102778 0.291332 0.751702 1.754261 3.695236 7.516847
2025-02-09 0.025646 0.095507 0.282585 0.754572 1.809697 3.895480 8.074604
2025-02-16 0.022903 0.090270 0.278006 0.766273 1.884416 4.137328 8.723685
2025-02-23 0.020112 0.084111 0.269960 0.768617 1.938881 4.342691 9.315167
2025-03-02 0.016628 0.074549 0.250994 0.741687 1.925895 4.412053 9.648483
2025-03-09 0.015402 0.072619 0.253001 0.767564 2.034078 4.734019 10.492722
2025-03-16 0.014059 0.069866 0.252159 0.785937 2.126415 5.028782 11.298540
2025-03-23 0.013637 0.070606 0.261881 0.833326 2.290625 5.483479 12.447713